Wednesday, December 11, 2019

2019 PBA Draft Reactions - The Gilas 5

Gilas 2023
(Photo: ABS CBN Sports)
Here's what we know, based on facts:

The official announcement was posted on PBA.ph on December 5, just three days away from the actual 2019 PBA Draft which up to that point, was really not enjoying any buzz be it on the airwaves or on social media. See, the PBA Draft is the PBA's lifeblood in more ways than one. Not only are teams getting new players, but they are also counting on the new (old) fans of the aforementioned to jump in. As in previous years, you've got established college stars who enjoy massive followings entering the Draft and all of a sudden, their teams enjoy an increase in following. Best case study of course if Chris Tiu of THE Ateneo, who Rain or Shine picked years ago and voila, all of a sudden RoS had a lot of Tiu-pporters up to his last game.

Is that a thing? Tiu-pporters? Or are they really (blasphemously) known as Iglesia ni Chris Tiu?

Anyway, back to the PBA GILAS Draft.



Somehow, someway, the PBA, Samahang Basketbol ng Pilipinas and the MVP group all met eye-to-eye and agreed that if we are to prepare for the 2023 FIBA World Cup which we will be co-hosting, then now's the time. We honestly don't know who selected these players, if it were entirely up to Ateneo coach Tab Baldwin (who is credited as the Sports Director), or if it were done by a panel-- and if the PBA teams were consulted and gave their nods.

So, again, based on facts, here's what we know for sure: The 5 Gilas picks will be signed to SBP contracts for the next 3 years. They will train with Gilas (we don't know where, might be in the ABL or pocket tournaments) with the SBP given the option to allow them to play for the PBA teams that drafted them at any point within the 3 years. They could play next season, or maybe not at all. The PBA teams have the rights to these players, but that's really not saying a lot given that we've seen 1st overall picks being traded for almost nothing.

Also, there's no guarantee of all five being starting players on the Gilas 2023 team. There's no guarantee that they'll even be part of Gilas by 2024. We've seen some Gilas I 'investments' that didn't really pan out the way we'd hope for (i.e. Jason Ballesteros), but for the most part we're truly hoping for the best for these guys.

Our reactions:

1. Columbian - Isaac Go, C
Going into the Draft, Gilas or not, Go was already being penciled in as the Number 1 overall pick. Personally we had our reservations (still do), but in today's PBA game dominated by a 5x PBA MVP who also happens to be a 6"10 giant, there's a premium on getting quality bigs. Go is far from being dominant based on his college and amateur stats, but he does have a lot of positives overall as a token role-playing big man with a soft touch. This could very well work into Go's favor, as the 3 years could help him really develop his game the way the above-mentioned multiple time MVP suited up for an ABL team first (and playing sparingly behind imports and Asi Taulava). Go can run, rebound, shoot open jumpers and use his frame to set solid screens. Right now, we view him as a soft Doug Kramer, which is big considering Kramer made a name for himself as a well-tenured big man in the pros.

2. Blackwater - Rey Suerte, SG
Blackwater needs firepower, and so does any basketball team. Suerte fits the bill as an explosive scorer who can get shots up in a hurry. Time spent with Gilas would be of great benefit as he can continue working on his weaknesses specially on the defensive end.

3. NLEX - Matt Nieto, PG
Based on what we've heard and read from just about everyone, Nieto will be this team's Chris Tiu. Maybe not the face (yet, because that's sure to be Kobe lol), but the 6"1 guard will be running the offense and should it be Tab Baldwin's system, he's already way ahead of the learning curve.

4. Alaska - Alyn Bulanadi, SG
Gilas I had Chris Lutz and Marcio Lassiter. Gilas 2023 will have Suerte and Bulanadi on opposite sides of the wing. Both need work defensively, and maybe add a bit of weight, but a 3-year program where they'll be tested versus international competition should more than make up for it.

5. Rain or Shine - Mike Nieto, SF 
We're big fans of this kid though he wasn't used as much at ADMU. We saw him play (with his twin) back in HS, so we know that they can ball out. Might not be the fasters or most athletic, but like Matt Mike is well-rounded and can hold his own defensively. Honestly speaking, the twins are proto-type Euro-like players. Or, if you want something closer to home, they can be groomed to look and play like our neighboring Korean rivals who are wide-bodied, skilled and quick in the guard positions.

Your thoughts? @kilikilishot on Twitter or leave a comment :)

Monday, December 9, 2019

2019 PBA Draft Reactions

The first, first pick? err
(Photo: spin.ph)
Author's note: in the interest of providing all parties concerned with their fair share of exposure and digital space, we are splitting our 2019 PBA Draft reactions: one for the actual draft and another for the special Gilas selection. We have our reservations for sure, on how the whole thing played out, but let's stick to the positives first and celebrate the draftees-- specially the 1st round picks which we will discuss here and how they fit into their respective teams.

This 2019 PBA Draft, 45 of the 67 hopefuls were selected (including the Gilas) in what could easily be coined as one of the more "quiet-er" Drafts. There was a clear lack of household, superstar college names, but what this Draft lacked in starpower it made up for with well-rounded talent that went up to the 3rd and 4th rounds. It also wouldn't be much of a surprise if the first rounders (and a few second ones) soon start making waves in the pros despite going under-the-radar.

Also, how's this for another sample for the "Junemar Effect:" 8 of the 12 1st round picks are all frontliners (SF/PF/C). Pretty obvious that teams are going for size moving forward.

1. Columbian - Roosevelt Adams, SG
Glad to see this one working out from our Mock Draft. It's going to be nice to see just how good Adams is, as we've seen flashes during his stint with Go-for-Gold and Mighty Sports. At 6"5, he's already bigger than most of the competition at SF, and with his range, would be a great running buddy to incoming star sophomore CJ Perez.
Draft day grade: A

2. Blackwater - Maurice Shaw, C
If our boy James Velasquez doesn't step up the first time he covers a BW game with Shaw in tow and calls him "The Big Shaw" (akin to the WWE star), we'd be very disappointed. Shaw is a grizzled veteran big man who has been putting up great numbers versus East Asian competition, but he's also been injured here and there and is already at 34-35 years of age. Silver lining is, he's going to allow BW to go REALLY big with him at center, Mac Belo at 3 and Carl Bryan Cruz at 4.
Draft day grade: A


3. NLEX - Mike Ayonayon, PG
While we didn't really have Ayonayon high up on this list, the pick is trademark Guiao-- a relatively unknown player who plays with a lot of spunk and heart. Only, Ayonayon is arguably one of the better scorers in the Draft after Rey Suerte and Allyn Bulanadi who were recruited into the Gilas pool. The former MPBL Finals MVP is going to have his work cut out for him however, as he'll need to dislodge anyone from: Kiefer Ravena, Kevin Alas, Philip Paniamogan, Larry Fonacier, Cyrus Baguio, Eman Monfort (injured) and whoever. That's a boat load of A-list guards to go up against.
Draft day grade: B

4. Alaska - Barkley Ebona, PF
Looks like Coach Jeffrey Cariaso is bent on building an athletic, tall and mobile Aces team with the entry of 6"5 big man Ebona who is just as rugged as former Ace Carl Bryan Cruz, minus the penchant for veering away from the paint.
Draft day grade: B

5. Rain or Shine - Adrian Wong, PG
Personally, we love Wong's game and felt that he was the 'odd man out' in Ateneo's structured offense. Almost like he sacrificed his offense for the better good of the team (which obviously worked). At RoS, he'll get an opportunity to show his wares as a slasher and hopefully form a formidable backcourt rotation with resident stars Rey Nambatac and Ed Daquiaog.
Draft day grade: B

6. Rain or Shine - Clint Doliguez, SF
While the Wong pick was unsurprising, Doliguez coming in right after him was a bit of a head-scratcher. RoS' now appears to have one too many young guards all with a knack for scoring, and if you're moving him to his natural position, there's his senior Javee Mocon (and vet Gabe Norwood).
Draft day grade: B

7. Rain or Shine - Prince Rivero, PF
He'll have to learn to play the wing post moving forward, as Rivero is a bit too small for a PBA power forward. Still, this is another great opportunity for him to learn from another heavyweight-- Beau Belga, while the RoS system also allows all of its players to shine given their ever-changing rotation and minutes. Skills-wise, he can learn a lot from veteran Mark Borboran.
Draft day grade: B

8. Northport - Sean Manganti, SF
We had Manganti going higher, like, Alaska higher, but that obviously didn't push through. The next shocker of course, was why RoS didn't bring this wiry small forward in, who has great size, good handles and decent range to be Gabe Norwood's protege. Well, we'll probably never know but it's good to see him going to Northport where he can learn behind Kevin Ferrer and Sean Anthony.
Draft day grade: B

9. Magnolia - Aris Dionisio, PF
Again, another surprise pick. Dionisio is a great defender (Arwind Santos-ish, minus the 3-point jacking/ shooting) who can be groomed into Marc Pingris' successor as the Hotshots' defensive lynchpin. Under-rated, needs to work on his shooting and handles, and a little weight won't hurt his stock.
Draft day grade: A

10. Ginebra - Arvin Tolentino, PF 
We love Arvin and expected much of him. He has the range, he makes jumpshots look so effortless. But well, we haven't see him with that fire or hustle that you'd want from young stars looking to make a name for themselves-- something that was supposedly what he or his camp wanted to do when they left Ateneo for FEU. But he kind of sleepwalked at FEU. Then in the MPBL. And well, hope his PBA run is better. Ceiling's Kerby Raymundo-lite. Right now, he's Mark Borboran. The PBA version not the UE one.
Draft day grade: B

11. TNT - Kib Montalbo, PG
The MVP camp can't seem to keep itself from picking DLSU guards huh? A decade or so ago, they had Ren Ren Ritualo and Mac Cardona. In 2020, they'll be having Almond Vosotros and Kib Montalbo (okay, the comparison was pretty bad, with only the DLSU thing as common ground since the first two were legitimate stars while the latter are, well, uh). Montalbo would be a great addition to an otherwise thin TNT point guard rotation.
Draft day grade: B

12. Columbian - Christian Balagasay, C
They need warm bodies, and Balagasay is one of the more battle-ready ones. Imagine if they held on to... and paired him with... and.... sigh.
Draft day grade: B

Special mentions: Aaron Black will be a sleeper contributor for Meralco, great running buddy/ sub for Chris Newsome. Hoping that Renzo Subido is able to make a name for himself in the pros, it's not like Northport has anyone bigger at the moment playing point (Sol Mercado's somehow glued to the bench) so that leaves them with Nico Elorde. Valandre Chauca is also a sleeper, we're not surprised that he wasn't picked earlier though. A bit of an unknown, played for Adamson, impressed here and there but not enough. Which is big considering Franz Pumaren loves big guards so he should've been able to showcase something.

Your thoughts? @kilikilishot on Twitter

Tuesday, December 3, 2019

PBA GovCup SF: Ginebra vs Northport

At this point, I'm just surprised that The Dean
hasn't given him a moniker yet.
(Photo credit: Sports.inquirer.net)
Talk about Never-say-die.

On one hand we've got the Barangay Ginebra San Miguel, a powerhouse team on paper that continues to live up (or down, depending on which Kabarangay you're asking) to its glorious reputation. The team finished the PBA Governor's Cup as the 4th seed, starting a bit slow before turning it up in its last few games. On the other, you've got the Northport Batang Pier which was arguably on its way to packing its bags this conference following the injury to prized rookie point guard Robert Bolick before somehow landing national skipper Christian Standhinger (and prior to that, the trade that sent its other star guard-- Stanley Pringle to, well, Ginebra).

So we know what we're going to get with Ginebra. The offense runs through super import Justin Brownlee, and whenever he's around (like Meralco and Allen Durham), every thing just falls into place. Only, it was pretty obvious that they had a bit of a rough patch in trying to balance out the offense between Brownlee and Pringle. After those two guys, there's Japeth Aguilar, L.A. Tenorio, and a bit of Scottie Thompson.



Which brings our attention to the 8th seeded North Port. They recently made waves for that gruelling triple overtime upset of the 1st seed NLEX Road Warriors. Standhardinger is turning a lot of heads and making his case for Best Player of the Conference despite the fact that he was only recently traded to North Port by San Miguel. Their import, Michael Qualls, can do a little bit of everything and has the speed, length and athleticism to cover positions 3-5 in the PBA setting. Then there's the energizer bunny known as Sean Anthony, who, IMHO, is a modern day Rudy Hatfield.

This is going to be fun. The onus will be on who can dictate tempo from the get go. Also, if Ginebra can use its size to the hilt to really put the pressure on North Port with their height in the paint. The problem here is, North Port has the bigs, the bruising, elbows-out kind, that their Ginebra counterparts' are "allergic" to.

L.A. Tenorio vs. Nico Elorde
The pressure will be on Tenorio to once again lead Ginebra to victory. But it won't be easy versus Elorde, who is proving to be quite the tough defender who wears opponents down by simply sticking to them like a shadow.

Stanley Pringle vs Kevin Ferrer
Ferrer will get on Pringle's nerves in one of these games. But Pringle will need to make his presence felt enough for Brownlee and the rest to be able to operate freely and not be doubled. On paper, North Port has a few other big/ long guys like Sol Mercado and Paolo Taha to throw at Pringle just to give him different looks.

Scottie Thompson vs Sean Anthony
As good as Thompson has been for Ginebra as a relentless junkyard dog type, he's going to probably find himself matched-up against a mirror image in Anthony (if Coach Pido doesn't waste Anthony on Brownlee). Anthony can do just about everything Thompson does for Ginebra, only, he's bigger and has better range.

Justin Brownlee vs Michael Qualls
The thing about Brownlee that we've always found impressive is that, and maybe it's because he's been wearing the red, white and yellow for so long, he's no longer just a "scorer."

Japeth Aguilar vs Christian Standhardinger
We love Aguilar like the next guy, and have grown to appreciate what he brings to the Ginebra cause. But Standhardinger is cut from an old school, no excuses, no b.s. kind of cloth that every single Ginebra fan has been wanting to see from their own collection of bigs (everyone from Aguilar to Joe DeVance to Greg Slaughter). The kind of player who, as we say in Filipino, "nakikipagpalitan ng mukha" just to score a basket/ grab a rebound/ make a play. Sure, CSH flops and flails, but he also plays with a lot of passion and purpose. This isn't as simple as when Ginebra guards the 5x PBA MVP Junemar Fajardo with Slaughter (bigger) or Aguilar (longer) as he tries to back them up. CSH forces the issue and often gets those guarding him in foul trouble by simply bulldozing his way inside. Major problem.

Prediction: Ginebra is going to be in a lot of trouble. A team that doesn't always appear to be playing at 100%, going up against a team that is hungry and has a lot of burning desire to prove their critics wrong. Should Ginebra go big? They have the tools for it, but chances are North Port steps on the gas and leaves Slaughter et. al. behind. Also, it takes away Thompson who does a lot of things for Ginebra.

X-factor: Pick any one of the ex-Ginebra guys who are all going into this match-up with huge chips on their shoulders. Kevin Ferrer might sink a few treys. Jervy Cruz is going to throw some elbows.

Gut feel? North Port. But my brain says Ginebra.

Your thoughts? @kilikilishot on Twitter
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